claude

lithium-supply-demand-gap-radar

將鋰產業鏈(礦端 → 精煉化學品 → 電池與終端需求),整合為一套可運算的替代指標;再把這些指標映射到鋰主題 ETF(如 LIT)的成分暴露與長期價格走勢,形成可供決策的依據。

3 on GitHubby Ricky Wangv0.1.0MITupdated 9 months agocommodity-sd
/

Plugin lithium-supply-demand-gap-radar from marketplace macro-skills in fatfingererr/macro-skills. Commands read from the repo's manifest — 1 month ago.

What it installs

Skills (1)

  • lithium-supply-demand-gap-radar

    將鋰產業鏈(礦端 → 精煉化學品 → 電池與終端需求),整合為一套可運算的替代指標;再把這些指標映射到鋰主題 ETF(如 LIT)的成分暴露與長期價格走勢,形成可供決策的依據。

View source on GitHub fatfingererr.github.io

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用「庫存快速回補」作為短期警戒訊號,評估銅價是否接近短線高點,同時給出一個「長期是否偏便宜」的歷史分位數判讀。

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3

用公開資料量化「銅供應是否過度集中、主要產地是否結構性衰退、替代增量是否依賴少數國家」,並輸出可行的中期供應風險結論與情境推演。

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用天然氣與化肥價格的日頻數據,檢驗「天然氣暴漲→化肥供應受限/毀約→化肥飆價」敘事是否成立,輸出可標註到圖上的關鍵轉折點與領先落後分析。

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在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。

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把「獲利成長 × 財務狀況(金融環境)」映射成「投資時鐘」,判斷目前落在哪個象限、近期是順時針還是逆時針旋轉、以及相對於上一輪循環的位置差異

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