claude

macro-skills

FEDERATED - the claims inside are not verified by this repo. Thirty-seven macro and commodity research recipes in Traditional Chinese, each a runnable study: copper inventory and supply concentration, JGB insurer flows, MOVE versus VIX lead-lag, Fed unamortized discounts, CASS freight inflation turns, CPI versus PCE, a WASDE ingestor, a business-cycle rotator and a cost-density risk/reward calculator. FRED and similar keys go in the environment; idle since February 2026. Read-only. Installs disabled.

1 on GitHubMITupdated 1 month agofederated
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Plugin macro-skills from marketplace fin-skills in howard-lynn-ye/fin-skills. Commands read from the repo's manifest — 1 month ago.

What it installs

Skills (37)

  • analyze-copper-inventory-rebuild-signal

    用「庫存快速回補」作為短期警戒訊號,評估銅價是否接近短線高點,同時給出一個「長期是否偏便宜」的歷史分位數判讀。

  • analyze-copper-stock-resilience-dependency

    用跨資產訊號(全球股市韌性 + 中國利率環境)評估銅價能否突破關卡或進入「回補/回踩」到支撐的機率與路徑。

  • analyze-copper-supply-concentration-risk

    用公開資料量化「銅供應是否過度集中、主要產地是否結構性衰退、替代增量是否依賴少數國家」,並輸出可行的中期供應風險結論與情境推演。

  • analyze-gas-fertilizer-contract-shock

    用天然氣與化肥價格的日頻數據,檢驗「天然氣暴漲→化肥供應受限/毀約→化肥飆價」敘事是否成立,輸出可標註到圖上的關鍵轉折點與領先落後分析。

  • analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios

    在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。

  • analyze-investment-clock-rotation

    把「獲利成長 × 財務狀況(金融環境)」映射成「投資時鐘」,判斷目前落在哪個象限、近期是順時針還是逆時針旋轉、以及相對於上一輪循環的位置差異。

  • analyze-japan-debt-service-tax-burden

    以日本公債殖利率變化為觸發,量化「政府利息支出 / 稅收」負擔(含情境壓力測試),並判斷是否進入債務利息螺旋風險區。

  • analyze-jgb-insurer-superlong-flow

    從日本保險公司對超長期(10年以上)JGB 的淨買賣時間序列,自動產出「本月是否創紀錄淨賣出、連續淨賣出月數、期間累積淨賣出」等結論。

  • analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag

    用公開市場數據檢查「利率波動率(MOVE)是否對利率事件(如 JGB 殖利率變動)不恐慌,並且是否領先帶動 VIX / 信用利差走低」。

  • analyze-platinum-to-brazil-equities-transmission

    使用公開市場資料量化驗證鉑/白金對巴西股市(EWZ)的長週期傳導/連動關係,輸出雙軸圖、領先落後分析、關聯強度分數與監控訊號。

  • analyze-retail-inverse-etf-allocation

    以槓桿反向 ETF(做空)相對槓桿正向 ETF(做多)的交易占比,作為散戶風險偏好代理指標,評估 SPX 後續下行風險。

  • analyze-rolex-market-index-liquidity-proxy

    用勞力士市場指數(WatchCharts Rolex Market Index)作為高 β 的風險偏好/流動性代理,判讀「流動性改善但未到投機狂熱」的狀態

  • analyze-silver-miner-metal-ratio

    以「銀礦股價格 ÷ 白銀價格」的相對比率衡量礦業股板塊相對於金屬本體的估值區間(偏貴/偏便宜),並用歷史分位數與類比區間推導「底部/頂部」訊號與情境推演。

  • analyze-us-bank-credit-deposit-decoupling

    分析銀行貸款與存款之間的「信貸創造脫鉤」現象,追蹤存款的絕對收縮與回升軌跡,用以辨識聯準會緊縮政策在銀行體系內部的真實傳導效果。

  • backsolve-miner-vs-metal-ratio-with-fundamentals

    從網路自動抓取礦業公司財務報表與營運揭露(產量、成本、資本支出),回算「礦業股/金屬本體比率」的基本面解釋與區間門檻(如 1.2/1.7),並輸出可重現的估值拆解(成本因子 / 槓桿因子 / 倍數因子 / 稀釋因子)。

  • compute-precious-miner-gross-margin

    以公開金屬價格 + 礦業成本指標(AISC/All-in cost/現金成本)計算「黃金/白銀礦業毛利率代理值」,並判斷當前是否處於歷史高/低檔區間。

  • cost-density-net-rr-calculator

    計算交易成本對風險報酬比的非線性衰減影響。將固定佣金與點差整合為「成本密度」指標,揭示停損大小與策略效率的雙曲線關係,識別「獲利事件視界」閾值。

  • demographic-fiscal-trap-analyzer

    分析人口老化、債務動態、官僚膨脹與通膨稀釋交互作用下的「財政陷阱」風險,量化各國/地區的財政脆弱度並識別潛在的貨幣稀釋路徑

  • detect-atr-squeeze-regime

    以 14 日指數平滑 ATR 偵測市場是否從秩序型趨勢轉為波動主導的擠壓(squeeze)行情,並輸出對技術位、停損、交易持有期的可行性評估。

  • detect-fed-unamortized-discount-pattern

    檢查聯準會持有證券的未攤銷折價(Unamortized Discounts)是否出現與特定歷史危機期間相似的走勢模板,並用多指標交叉驗證是否真的屬於「金融壓力升高」而非單純會計/利率效果。

  • detect-freight-led-inflation-turn

    透過美國卡斯貨運指數 (CASS Freight Index) 的週期轉折,偵測美國通膨壓力是否進入放緩或反轉階段。用於判斷「通膨是否正在降溫」,並驗證市場對降息、通膨回落的宏觀敘事是否有實體經濟數據支撐。

  • detect-palladium-lead-silver-turns

    以鈀金的先行轉向作為確認條件,檢驗白銀短期漲跌是否獲得工業景氣與風險情緒的同步支持,並標記缺乏鈀金參與度的失敗走勢。

  • detect-shanghai-silver-stock-drain

    以公開交易所庫存資料為核心,量化上海白銀庫存耗盡的方向、速度與加速度,並將其轉成可交易的供給緊縮訊號。

  • detect-us-equity-valuation-percentile-extreme

    把多個股票估值指標統一轉成在過去百年歷史中的分位數,再合成一個總分,判斷目前是否處於歷史極端高估區間,並用歷史類比(如 1929、1965、1999)給出風險解讀。

  • evaluate-exponential-trend-deviation-regimes

    計算資產價格相對長期指數成長趨勢線的偏離度,衡量當前是否處於歷史極端區間,並可選擇性地進行宏觀因子分析以判斷行情體質。

  • forecast-sector-relative-return-from-yield-spread

    用美債殖利率曲線利差(如 2Y-10Y)建立「領先關係」,推估未來一段時間內成長股(Nasdaq 100)相對防禦股(Healthcare/XLV)的相對績效方向與幅度。

  • google-trends-ath-detector

    專注於 Google Trends 數據擷取與分析,使用 Selenium 模擬真人瀏覽器行為抓取數據,自動判定搜尋趨勢是否創下歷史新高(ATH)或出現異常飆升,並提供訊號分型(季節性/事件驅動/結構性轉變)。

  • list-china-today-macro-news

    彙整今日中國宏觀經濟新聞消息,從華爾街日報、36氪等來源抓取並篩選宏觀相關新聞,輸出雜誌風格的新聞摘要。適用於交易/研究開盤前快速掌握中國宏觀動態。

  • lithium-supply-demand-gap-radar

    將鋰產業鏈(礦端 → 精煉化學品 → 電池與終端需求),整合為一套可運算的替代指標;再把這些指標映射到鋰主題 ETF(如 LIT)的成分暴露與長期價格走勢,形成可供決策的依據。

  • monitor-etf-holdings-drawdown-risk

    偵測「商品價格上漲、但對應實物 ETF/信託持倉卻下滑」的背離現象,並用多指標交叉驗證,評估是否存在實物供給緊張/交割壓力風險。

  • nickel-concentration-risk-analyzer

    以全球鎳供給結構為核心,量化各國的主導程度(例如印尼)、主要礦區供給量、以及政策配額/減產情境對全球供需平衡與價格非對稱的影響。

  • track-agri-hedge-fund-positioning

    用 COT 非商業部位變化,量化對沖基金在農產品期貨的資金流向,並把出口需求、USDA 數據、美元/原油/金屬等宏觀風向整合成可交易的敘事與訊號。

  • track-equity-cumulative-return

    Track cumulative return of stocks/indices with multi-ticker comparison, index Top N ranking, and visualization. All comparisons use S&P 500 as the fixed benchmark.

  • us-cpi-pce-comparator

    自動比較美國 CPI(固定權重)與 PCE(動態權重)的通膨訊號,識別低波動高權重桶位的 PCE 上行風險。用於分析 Fed 關注的 PCE 是否正在 re-accelerate,即使 CPI 看似降溫。

  • usd-reserve-loss-gold-revaluation

    在「美元/某貨幣失去儲備地位、黃金成為唯一錨」的假設下,用央行貨幣負債 ÷ 黃金儲備,推演「資產負債表可承受的隱含金價」,並輸出各國/各貨幣的槓桿程度、缺口與排名。

  • wasde-ingestor

    下載並解析 USDA 每月發布的 WASDE 報告,擷取所有主要商品(穀物、油籽、棉花、畜產品、糖)的供需平衡表。輸出標準化、可版本化的資料集,作為即時預測(nowcasting)的錨定基準。

  • zeberg-salomon-rotator

    用領先和同時指標建構景氣模型,並判讀兩種景氣階段:景氣擴張期 (Risk-On) 與景氣收縮期 (Risk-Off),並根據理論給出 "撞冰山" 與 "下沉" 事件訊號。

View source on GitHub

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